Select Language

USD/CHF hovers around 0.8050 as traders adopt caution ahead of Fed Beige Book

Breaking news

USD/CHF hovers around 0.8050 as traders adopt caution ahead of Fed Beige Book

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.09.03 18:17
USD/CHF hovers around 0.8050 as traders adopt caution ahead of Fed Beige Book

update 2025.09.03 18:17

  • USD/CHF struggles ahead of US JOLTS Job Openings and the Fed Beige Book due on Wednesday.
  • The CME FedWatch tool indicates that more than 89% of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut is expected in September.
  • Thursday's Swiss CPI data will likely provide insights into the SNB's policy outlook for September.

USD/CHF struggles after two days of gains, trading around 0.8040 during the European hours on Wednesday. The pair receives downward pressure as the US Dollar (USD) faces challenges amid rising odds of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) delivering interest rate cut in September. The CME FedWatch tool indicates pricing in more than 89% of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut by the Fed at the September policy meeting, up from an 86% chance a day ago.

However, the USD/CHF pair gained ground as rising yields make US assets more attractive to global investors, hence capital inflows increase demand for US Dollar (USD). The two-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury bonds standing at 3.66% and 4.29%, respectively, at the time of writing.

The US JOLTS Job Openings and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) Beige Book will be eyed later in the North American session. Attention will shift toward upcoming data later in the week that could shape the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy decision in September. Key reports include ADP Employment Change, Average Hourly Earnings, and Nonfarm Payrolls for August.

The USD/CHF pair also draws support as the Swiss Franc (CHF) struggles as the Swiss National Bank (SNB) officials may consider pushing interest rates into negative territory at this month's policy meeting, as July inflation stayed well below the central bank's 2% target. Traders will likely gain fresh impetus from Swiss Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August due on Thursday, with expectations for a steady 0.2% annual increase and flat growth on a monthly basis.

Swiss Franc FAQs

The Swiss Franc (CHF) is Switzerland's official currency. It is among the top ten most traded currencies globally, reaching volumes that well exceed the size of the Swiss economy. Its value is determined by the broad market sentiment, the country's economic health or action taken by the Swiss National Bank (SNB), among other factors. Between 2011 and 2015, the Swiss Franc was pegged to the Euro (EUR). The peg was abruptly removed, resulting in a more than 20% increase in the Franc's value, causing a turmoil in markets. Even though the peg isn't in force anymore, CHF fortunes tend to be highly correlated with the Euro ones due to the high dependency of the Swiss economy on the neighboring Eurozone.

The Swiss Franc (CHF) is considered a safe-haven asset, or a currency that investors tend to buy in times of market stress. This is due to the perceived status of Switzerland in the world: a stable economy, a strong export sector, big central bank reserves or a longstanding political stance towards neutrality in global conflicts make the country's currency a good choice for investors fleeing from risks. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen CHF value against other currencies that are seen as more risky to invest in.

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) meets four times a year - once every quarter, less than other major central banks - to decide on monetary policy. The bank aims for an annual inflation rate of less than 2%. When inflation is above target or forecasted to be above target in the foreseeable future, the bank will attempt to tame price growth by raising its policy rate. Higher interest rates are generally positive for the Swiss Franc (CHF) as they lead to higher yields, making the country a more attractive place for investors. On the contrary, lower interest rates tend to weaken CHF.

Macroeconomic data releases in Switzerland are key to assessing the state of the economy and can impact the Swiss Franc's (CHF) valuation. The Swiss economy is broadly stable, but any sudden change in economic growth, inflation, current account or the central bank's currency reserves have the potential to trigger moves in CHF. Generally, high economic growth, low unemployment and high confidence are good for CHF. Conversely, if economic data points to weakening momentum, CHF is likely to depreciate.

As a small and open economy, Switzerland is heavily dependent on the health of the neighboring Eurozone economies. The broader European Union is Switzerland's main economic partner and a key political ally, so macroeconomic and monetary policy stability in the Eurozone is essential for Switzerland and, thus, for the Swiss Franc (CHF). With such dependency, some models suggest that the correlation between the fortunes of the Euro (EUR) and the CHF is more than 90%, or close to perfect.


Date

Created

 : 2025.09.03

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.09.03

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Sinks below 0.80 on weak NFP data

The USD/CHF extended its losses on Friday, tumbling below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.8020. The release of a worse than expected US Nonfarm Payrolls report, cemented the case for a Fed rate cut at the September meeting. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 0.7980, down 0.94%.
New
update2025.09.06 07:07

EUR/USD jumps to 1.1714 as weak US jobs data sinks Dollar

The EUR/USD advanced during the North American session after the latest employment report in the United Sates (US) showed the labor market is deteriorating. Consequently, investors ditched the US Dollar as the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve in 2025 looms.
New
update2025.09.06 06:05

Canadian Dollar reverse bullish momentum, backslides further on Friday

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) soured on Friday, skidding into a fifth consecutive losing day against the US Dollar (USD) after employment figures from both Canada and the United States (US) showed both countries are failing to absorb the negative impacts of US President Donald Trump's trade war with the
New
update2025.09.06 04:13

Fed's Goolsbee remains undecided on September rate decision

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee warned on Friday that while sinking employment data is typically a cause for interest rate cuts, still-high inflation data is still cause for concern, and key Fed officials may not be fully sold on a September rate cut.
New
update2025.09.06 03:45

USD/CHF plunges below 0.8000 as weak NFP boosts odds of deeper Fed cuts

The Swiss Franc (CHF) gains ground against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with USD/CHF sliding below the 0.8000 psychological mark to touch its lowest level since July 28.
New
update2025.09.06 03:27

Gold blasts to record $3,600 as weak NFP ignite Fed cut frenzy

Gold price rallies sharply and hits a new all-time high of $3,600 on Friday, following a soft Nonfarm Payrolls report, which raised speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is ready to resume rate cuts. XAU/USD trades at $3,594, up 1.30% at the time of writing.
New
update2025.09.06 02:47

Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbles 250 points as NFP figures dip faster than expected

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) sank on Friday, falling nearly 500 points at its lowest after United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data showed the US added far fewer jobs than expected, pinning expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut on September 17.
New
update2025.09.06 02:37

WTI hits three-month low as OPEC+ meeting looms

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil is heading into the weekend under heavy pressure, extending its losing streak to a third straight day as traders brace for the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+) meeting on Sunday, September 7.
New
update2025.09.06 02:26

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the Fed must re-establish its credibility

United States (US) Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that the Federal Reserve (Fed) must re-establish its crediblity and trust with the American people during an interview with the Wall Street Journal, published on Friday.
New
update2025.09.06 02:06

US: We now expect a 50bps Fed cut in September - Standard Chartered

August non-farm payrolls rose just 22k, well below the 75k consensus; three-month average is now 29k.
New
update2025.09.06 01:41

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel