Select Language

EUR/USD weakens below 1.1700 as traders brace for US ISM Manufacturing PMI data

Breaking news

EUR/USD weakens below 1.1700 as traders brace for US ISM Manufacturing PMI data

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.09.02 13:13
EUR/USD weakens below 1.1700 as traders brace for US ISM Manufacturing PMI data

update 2025.09.02 13:13

  • EUR/USD loses traction to around 1.1695 in Tuesday's Asian session. 
  • Persistent Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions and fears of a new political crisis in France undermine the Euro. 
  • Dovish tone of the Fed might help limit the pair's losses. 

The EUR/USD pair loses momentum to around 1.1695, snapping the three-day winning streak during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday, pressured by a firmer US Dollar. The preliminary reading of the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for August will be in the highlights later on Tuesday.

The Euro (EUR) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) amid the persistent Russia-Ukraine conflict. Russian drone attacks on power facilities in northern and southern Ukraine on Sunday left nearly 60,000 customers without electricity, per the Guardian. 

Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy vowed to retaliate by ordering more strikes deep inside Russia. Ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine implies higher energy costs and increases geopolitical uncertainty in the Eurozone, which generally exerts some selling pressure on the EUR. 

Furthermore, the French Prime Minister François Bayrou will hold a confidence vote on September 8, bringing back fears of recession. Opinion polls from Reuters showed that most French people now want new national elections, pointing to deepening dissatisfaction with politics and a risk of lasting uncertainty. This, in turn, might drag DXY lower in the near term. 

Across the pond, dovish remarks from a Federal Reserve (Fed) official last week have indicated a potential shift in policy, acknowledging slowing economic activity. This, in turn, might weigh on the Greenback. Market probabilities, as indicated by the CME FedWatch Tool, have recently shown a high chance, nearly 89% of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in September, though this fluctuates based on new information.

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 19 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB's primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates - or the expectation of higher rates - will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB's 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone's economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.


Date

Created

 : 2025.09.02

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.09.02

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Eurozone FX Today: The ECB's pause comes under scrutiny

The Euro (EUR) is holding steady against the US Dollar (USD), trading at 1.1710 on Wednesday. A wait-and-see attitude prevails ahead of the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy meeting, scheduled for Thursday at 12:15 GMT.
New
update2025.09.10 23:32

EUR/USD steadies above 1.1700 after US PPI miss, attention shifts to ECB

The Euro (EUR) is edging modestly higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, as the Greenback lost momentum after weaker-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) figures added to market bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will deliver a rate cut next week.
New
update2025.09.10 22:38

Euro slides against Pound as ECB decision looms amid geopolitical tensions

The Euro (EUR) extends its decline against the British Pound (GBP) for a second consecutive day on Wednesday, with the EUR/GBP cross hovering near 0.8640 at the time of writing.
New
update2025.09.10 21:28

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Aims to extend upside towards 0.6000

The NZD/USD pair trades 0.22% higher around 0.5940 during the European trading session on Wednesday. The Kiwi pair gains as antipodeans outperforms its peers, following an upbeat market mood.
New
update2025.09.10 20:50

Gold rebounds above $3,650 ahead of US PPI inflation report

Gold (XAU/USD) edges up on Wednesday following a sharp reversal the previous day, with the metal soaring to an all-time high near $3,675 before retreating to settle at around $3,625.
New
update2025.09.10 20:45

JPY: Markets assess political developments and BoJ outlook - Scotiabank

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is trading flat against the US Dollar (USD) and consolidating in an incredibly tight range as market participants await Friday's industrial production data, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
New
update2025.09.10 20:40

USD/CAD ticks up above 1.3850 with all eyes on the US PPI report

The US Dollar is trading higher for the second consecutive day against the Canadian Dollar.
New
update2025.09.10 20:40

GBP flat ahead of data later this week - Scotiabank

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is entering Wednesday's NA session with a marginal gain vs. the USD as it consolidates in a tight range just above 1.3500, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
New
update2025.09.10 20:27

EUR steady ahead of Thursday's ECB - Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) is entering Wednesday's NA session flat against the US Dollar (USD) and also unchanged from Friday's close, having relinquished much of its gains observed earlier in the week, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
New
update2025.09.10 20:25

CAD fails to take advantage of softer USD tone - Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is trading marginally lower in overnight trade but is holding a tight range around the 1.3850 point, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
New
update2025.09.10 20:21

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel